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How to Handle a Squat Candle at Breakout Point



What exactly is a squat candle ?


A squat candle is candle that attempts to break out of a base but,


eventually fails to close above the buy point by the end of the day.


What do you do then ?


You ask yourself a very basic question:


Did this candle do what I expected it to do ?


What were you expecting ?


You were expecting a high volume breakout candle that closes well above the buy point by the end of the day.


If you do not get what you expect, what should you do as a professional trader ?


Answer: Immediately go into risk management mode.


You do not react.


You choose to respond.


How do you respond ?


There are 3 basic ways to manage risk:


1. Reduce position size

2. Move stop loss up

3. Do both of the above simultaneously


As a professional trader, you must do at least one of the above on a squat candle.


And,


you have to do it just before the squat candle closes. (2-3 minutes before the close)


Why ?


To avoid overnight risk.


How else can you respond to a squat candle ?


One risky option is:


Do nothing.


When is this justified ?


Answer: Only when you have earned profits in your previous 4-5 trades combined.


That increases your ability and willingness to take risk.


As a professional trader, you first have to "earn the right" to take risk.


Why is it important to learn about the squat candle ?


Mark Minervini has introduced this concept of squat candle in his books.


He wouldn't make a special mention of the squat candle in his book unless,


he himself had faced this situation multiple times in his trading journey.


I myself, have come across the squat candle many times.


The best I can do is manage risk.


Closing the trade at the squat may not necessarily be wise.


Why ?


Because, the stock that you have chosen most likely met all or if not most of our,


Orange Trading System criteria.


This is a stock that is worth paying attention to.


I would not easily give up my position in such a stock.


How else can a squat candle be handled ?


When you buy a stock, there are usually atleast 1 or 2 moving averages between,


- your entry price

- your stop loss (7-8%)


They are


- 8 EMA

- 21 EMA


Sometimes I might choose to stay in the trade with full position if,


none of the above moving averages is broken.


When to stay and when not to stay ?


Let the risk management principles make the decision for you.


That is why I often use the word "sometimes".


There is no black and white in trading.


Its all conditional.


Your ability to handle situations like a squat candle can make you a world class professional stock market trader.


Put some thought into your risk management principles.


Appearance of a squat candle is not abnormal.


Can I stock continue on its uptrend inspite of the appearance of the squat candle ?


Ofcourse.


Can the stock break down and fail completely ?


It can.


Just learn to manage risk.


Regards,


Rohit Musale, CFA


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